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PULSE - March 24, 2026

Geopolitical Shock, Inflation Re-Acceleration, and a Cooling "Sell America" Narrative Reshape Market Positioning in the Shadow of the Iran War

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

- The Iran War's closure of the Strait of Hormuz has simultaneously triggered the sharpest weekly surge in inflation expectation language and a broad risk-off posture, yet traditional safe-haven narratives — gold, Swiss franc, yen, and Treasurys — have all declined. This reveals an unusual environment in which the energy-driven repricing of interest rates is disrupting conventional flight-to-safety playbooks, leaving investors caught between rising geopolitical risk and an inability to seek shelter in the assets that have historically served that purpose.

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